Wednesday, May 5, 2010

05/05 Daily Summary


I was able to move my downside adjustment to 1935 and maintain the same levels of P/L thanks to the extra day of time decay and perhaps some volatility that is going away. I did adjust my contingent order early in the morning as I did not want it to be triggered in a whipsaw action, I moved it to the lowest point of the day once I noticed we had formed a hammer on the 30 minute chart. It would not have triggered either way, but to be fully honest here I wanted to capture that I made that adjustment.

05/05 NDX Iron Butterfly – MAY/10






As we opened Today bellow the 1940 level I decided to make an executive decision and lift my lower adjustment, moving it further down to 1935 level. My thinking behind it was that we opened with such a gap down that it seemed logic it would try to trade back up and fill the gap. If I was wrong the contingent would trigger at 1935 and I would be down an extra -1% ROI, so it seemed worth for me to do it this way rather than blindly locking the trade down with the extra put.
Worked out ok, now with the advantage of time decay and reduced vols I can leave my down-side adjustment at 1935 and maintain the same P/L level as Yesterday with the adjustment being 10 points further out.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

05/04 Daily Summary


Bears are out and seem to be hungry! I got my contingent orders adjusting the trade for me, then manually added the cut&roll and the extra iron butterfly to bring on extra theta. Still in the game and keeping an eye on the prize. Remember the roller-coaster video.. which trader are you? I’m keeping that in mind to make sure I’m the one observing and riding the waves.
Worth re-posting? You bet:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hyFl-IyDUhE

05/04 NDX Iron Butterfly – MAY/10






I’m still in the game, following my game plan, and as you can see I forecasted to be down 7% if hit both my down-side adjustments, as it turns out I’m down -7.5% after going beyond the second adjustment point, not bad.. One think I noticed was that adding the cut&Roll and the extra iron butterfly ended up costing me about 2% in ROI, I would be down only 4.5% if had executed only the hedging adjustments.. I think this will pay off Tomorrow if we pull back slowly and volatility comes back a notch or two.
Bottom line, I needed to increase theta and so I did as I had previously planned to do. No hesitation.

Monday, May 3, 2010

05/03 Daily Summary


Nothing new, we’re going back and forth on a wide range. I’m glad I stuck to my plan this morning, controlling the urge to lean bearish was a great victory for me Today :) Have to be patient this month, plan the trade and trade the plan, follow NDX, keep an eye on adjustment options and making sure there is enough theta to reach the goal.

05/03 NDX Iron Butterfly – MAY/10






We’re still trading back and forth on this very wide channel. NDX is pumping wide swings. I controlled my urge to go “bearish” early this morning, leaving my trading plan behind and leaning bearish. That would be a mistake in many ways, for once the market negated and rallied up, not to mention that so far I’ve been adhering to a well-defined and detailed trading plan, keeping an eye on reaching my 10% goal by next week. Throwing it out the window per say would jolt me out of wack and make it harder to stay in the game. Patience, patience is the name of the game this month for me.

Saturday, May 1, 2010

04/30 Daily Summary



If you’re not at the edge of your seat yet, I don’t know what will get you up :).. Notice the waves are getting bigger, there are sharks roaming around, the wind is blowing, no visibility, you name it, the storm is out there.. So here you have it, my alerts are on. I’m trading focused on the goal, and fully aware the environment is choppy to say the least.