Monday, July 13, 2009

07/13 Daily Summary

Today I started entering my AUG/09 trades, I posted earlier in the day what is my plan and how I'll allocate the trading capital. I started with a SPY Double Diagonal, plan on entering the trade in two stages. I might also enter the RUT 30-Day condor this week (two stages as well).

All and all, my biggest surprise for the day were my two paper Iron Butterflies. I didn't check one vital component of the greeks and got crushed Today. See the postings for more details.

Live Positions:
SPY Double Diagonal (Live)
AUG/09 Trading Plan

Paper:
SPX Iron Butterfly
RUT Iron Butterfly

07/13 RUT Iron Butterfly

One more day in paradise.. See the SPX posting as well.

I didn't check my Vega exposure last Friday, and Today it hit me like a brick (in the face). I was running around happly expecting these two iron butterflies to cash in Today, but got surprised by how much Vega risk I left last Friday, with Today's movement it just nailed the positions..

Let's see if they can still make it trough, I flattened it once again.

07/13 SPX Iron Butterfly

WOW!! In all of Friday's excitement, I forgot to check one KEY issue with my position as of last Friday.. Take a look at its Last Friday's profile, and see if you can tell for yourself what it is..

.. I'll give it some time to further explain it later. Today, I was shocked to see the position losing money when SPX moved up, at first I thought it was the normal P&L oscilation, but then I double-checked my records and realized I had missed this one key item, and it hit me right on the head Today...

See the Vega in last Friday's chart, with Today's up movement being long that many vega just crushed the trade. VIX dropped over 9% Today, and along went my paper profits.. I left the trade on, let's see what Tomorrow brings. Today I was careful to double-check the greeks, they all seem to be in check, let's see..


07/13 SPY Double Diagonal *New*

Started this new position Today, my goal is to get 13% ROI, the stop loss is around -19%. My adjustment strategy is to cut the delta by using a debit spread to move the short contracts up or down, if needed, I can also roll the opposite side as well to increase theta.

I'm entering the position in two stages, one Today and another one Tomorrow, my preferred approach would be to enter the first half last Wednesday, but I was having Internet issues and decided to enter this week.

As you can see from the VIPES spreadsheet bellow, the SPY have been moving around a bit lately, this is a sign to approach with caution, that's why the two-step entry.





Sunday, July 12, 2009

07/12 AUG/09 Trading Plan

We're in Mid July and it is time to look ahead and start executing the AUG/09 Trades. I have decided to stop trading the 50-Day Iron Condors, mainly because they take a lot of time to mature and I like to have adjustment options if things get hairy, thus far I have not been able to really protect myself on these Iron Condors, so I'll be keeping them on the bench.

So, I'm left with Double Diagonals, 30-Day Iron Condor, Iron Butterfly and Calendars. This month I want to start trading the IBM double/triple Calendar as explained by Himanshu, one of Dan Sheridan's students. Here is my capital allocation plan and time-line.

Friday, July 10, 2009

07/10 Daily Summary

I finally got the Internet back on-line. The incident left me with a new found respect for the Desktop version of TOS. Their web-based platform is really basic and without the Risk Profile one has very little visibility, what makes it difficult to manage a complex option position. One way or another, it has the greeks and I was able to balance them at the end of day Today, now looking at the profile I see there wasn't a lot of damage, thanks for the market being indecisive for the past 3 days.

There is a chance to make paper profits next Monday, it all depends on the market, we'll see. One way or another, I'm ready to start allocating my AUG/09 capital, and will start with the Double Diagonals, most likely to use SPY and/or DIA for those.

Position's Summary:
07/10 SPX Iron Butterfly
07/10 RUT Iron Butterfly

07/10 SPX Iron Butterfly

Now, back in the driver's seat. I was able to manage the position with TOS' Web-based interface, however, that interface is horrible in terms of managing a complex position, you don't have the risk profile charts and it is really hard to see what you need to do as you plan for your next trading day. One way or another, the market was stable and it helped.

Going into the weekend, there is a good chance for profits, unless we resume the down-movement. As of now, my plan is to exit on Monday and count my learning from these two trades.


Position's history day-by-day:
07/09 Daily Update
07/08 Daily Update

07/07 SPX Iron Butterfly
07/02 SPX Iron Butterfly
07/01 SPX Iron Butterfly
06/30 SPX Iron Butterfly
06/29 SPX Iron Butterfly
06/25 SPX Iron Butterfly
06/24 SPX Iron Butterfly
06/23 SPX Iron Butterfly
06/22 SPX Iron Butterfly

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