Friday, May 28, 2010

5/28 Weekly Summary


Ok, I've been absent for a few days, so here is my 5 minutes review of the week: while I don't think it is business as usual, I can point to a few indications that it is much calmer than it was a few weeks back. Look at the daily chart, we only had a few bigger than 1 st. deviationd days in the past 10 days, compared to how it was 20 days ago, it is much better. Also, the 5 day chart seems to be showing to some sort of consolidation, meaning we're not totaly biased to one side of the chart. All that being said, I'm glad I'm no longer with positions opened, but at the same time am looking for ways to stay connected, perhaps some backtesting? Or even a review of past trades, capturing some lessons learned along the way.
Cheers!
Gustavo

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

JUN NDX Iron Butterfly Day-by-day review

This was an extreme satisfying trade. 3 days and I got out with my target ROI! :) Most of it comes from the fact I decided to enter the JUN position regardless of the wild market conditions. I’ve made a few tweaks to the trade and made up my mind I was ready to manage whatever would come my way.
It also helped I entered later in the week due to my trip to Germany. When I saw the early morning gap on Thursday (5/20) I decided to wait for Friday (5/21), as it turns out, I entered early AM on Friday and got most of the increased volatility due to Thursday’s decline. Then it was a matter of watching the vols melt away and the profits show up.
Trade 1: From 5/21/2010 to 5/25/2010 +10.16% ROI
Day by day:

05/21 NDX Iron Butterfly
05/24 NDX Iron Butterfly
05/25 NDX Iron Butterfly

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

05/25 NDX Iron Butterfly – JUN/10




Ok, as we gapped down this morning I was observing the NDX and its price action, it got to about 4 points from my lower adjustment (1950), then started to bounce from there. Rather than touching the position early in the morning I’ve decided to let it ride for the extra day... As it turned out, this as a good choice as we traded to just about the same level as we closed Yesterday. With the additional Volatility crush I got to 10% on my trade and dashed for the exit! :)
Not bad, get in Friday morning, ride through the weekend, cash out 10% by Tuesday (3 days in the market) I am very grateful I got in the position this month!

05/24 NDX Iron Butterfly – JUN/10



Today is my Birthday and I think the market actually handed me a gift! Let’s call it the volatility gift! The position is around 7% profit after just one day of trade! I love it, and as a matter of fact, depending on how it looks Tomorrow I might tighten it up a bit to reduce my overall exposure to delta and vega. Normally I wouldn’t touch it, but given the recent market condition I think it is worth taking a conservative approach with gains.

Saturday, May 22, 2010

APR NDX Iron Butterfly Day-by-day review

I took an unnecessary loss for my APR position, at some point in the month trading cycle I have lost track of what I was doing, with too many trades and not enough time to focus on anything. I left the Iron Butterfly “float” around the up-side zone without properly increasing its theta when needed. The result is I didn’t capture theta and ended up taking a loss when the market moved up in the last few days of the trade.

Trade 1: From 3/15/2010 to 4/14/2010 -12.33% ROI

Day by day:

03/15 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/16 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/17 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/18 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/19 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/22 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/23 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/24 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/24 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/26 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/29 NDX Iron Butterfly

03/30 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/01 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/05 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/06 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/07 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/08 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/09 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/12 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/13 NDX Iron Butterfly

04/14 NDX Iron Butterfly