Briefly, two possible scenarios based on the short-term, 1 hour chart.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
5/19 RUT Technical Analysis
I've noticed we broke up to the 495 price zone. Like I mentioned before, there is plenty of resistance on the up-side, RUT is once again brushing against the 497 zone, notice in a 10-day 1 hour chart how many days we bounced around this level.
To the down-side, the 485 zone will also be an important target zone. It will find support on the Moving averages and recent price bounces in this area. Where it will go it remains to be seen, I like to explore the two possible options.
First, the Up-side continuation: I've noticed we didn't push that high in the previous few days, this could be a signal that we're not so excited about going much higher.
To the down-side, the 485 zone will also be an important target zone. It will find support on the Moving averages and recent price bounces in this area. Where it will go it remains to be seen, I like to explore the two possible options.
First, the Up-side continuation: I've noticed we didn't push that high in the previous few days, this could be a signal that we're not so excited about going much higher.
DIA Iron Butterfly
SPY Calendar
05/19 RUT 50-Day Condor
5/19 DIA 41-Day Double Diagonal
I exited the position Today, the reasons behind were the fact we're almost 2 weeks on the trade and not over 5% profit, DIA has been flat for this period and the Volatility has collapsed quite a bit, giving me a much smaller profit potential at expiration. In summary, the volatility drop created a bigger sag than I wanted on the trade.
When I started the position, the profit potential in the middle of the position was over 20% ($125), Today it was around $60 (10%).
When I started the position, the profit potential in the middle of the position was over 20% ($125), Today it was around $60 (10%).
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