Wednesday, March 31, 2010
03/31 Daily Summary
Very short posting Today, Had only one adjustment that was more like fine turning than adjustment on one of the butterflies.
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
03/30 Daily Summary
03/30 NDX Iron Butterfly
03/30 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/22)
03/30 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
Monday, March 29, 2010
Daily Summary
03/29 NDX Iron Butterfly
03/29 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/22)
03/29 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
No major change in P/L on the position Today, there is not much left to be done on this trade, except to wait for time decay to do its thing and, of course, for NDX to take a break. I’ve added the price chart to give some perspective on when I entered the trade and where we are Today, as we can see, it started as a bearish butterfly and only took upside swing, so it has been challenging to say the least.
Saturday, March 27, 2010
03/26 Daily Summary
03/26 NDX Iron Butterfly
03/26 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/22)
I did not open the extra butterfly for the theta recovery Yesterday, as I mentioned earlier, selling a position by end of day on Friday is not the best way to go, plus there is still theta on the trade because we backed off from the edge of the butterfly. So all I did was to “debitize” one of my back month calls by selling a further out of the money call to cut some of the deltas. Depending on where we are on Monday I might open a new butter to bump up the theta, we’ll see.
03/26 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
It is time to close this position, I wasn’t ready to shut it down on Friday, I need to re-visit my trading strategy here, when I originally tested this idea, the plan was to let the trade go for no longer than 2 weeks, I let it run through Monday a few weeks back and it worked out in my benefit, last week it was the opposite, then again when you trade live a lot more elements come into play. So I’m adjusting as I go to what makes more sense to me.
03/26 NDX Fast Butterfly (from 03/08)
I closed the trade Today, time to refresh the capital and move on for next week’s position. In retrospect, the position was in much better shape by last Friday, which was the day to take it off as per my plan. I evaded the plan and took a bigger loss, still think that perhaps closing on Monday is a good idea.
Thursday, March 25, 2010
03/25 Daily Summary
“Everyone has a plan ‘till they get punched in the mouth”
-- Mike Tyson
He is right!! Today I got a black eye and a few jabs in the lips, ribs, etc. I saw the marked opened with a gap open, then checked FinViz and saw there wasn’t much “green on the map”, so thought to myself, well, it doesn’t look like will move much from here. Then in the back of my mind I thought: would hate to be buying right now.. Sure enough, we moved just above 1 st. Deviation from Yesterday, triggered ALL my contingent orders and reverted 100% and more of the move.. BANG! BONG, OUCH!!
Here is how I honestly cope with my adversity:
Step 1) MUT*ERF#CKER!!! YOU S*N OF A BITC#!! (I vent my feelings out loud for a while)
Step 2) Got to a long walk with the dog, climbed over a hill next to our house, to the edge, watching the ocean from the edge gives you perspective.. What you gonna do? Jump? Heck no (I step back from the situation mentally and get myself calm and collected)
Step 3) I now think of what is this teaching me: manage those contingent orders not to fully stop EVER again, have them in at least 3 layers of slowing delta down. (I take ownership of the situation, try to extract some learning from it)
Step 4) Ok, trade by trade, what can I do? Is it worth hanging around? Figure it out and get on with life (I go into problem solving mode and figure out how can I manage the positions)
Here is a few links for your own reference:
http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2007/08/assessing-your-coping-style-as-trader.html
http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2007/10/emotional-resilience-in-trading-three.html
http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2010/03/getting-punched-in-mouth-as-trader.html
03/24 NDX Iron Butterfly
03/25 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/22)
03/25 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
03/25 NDX Fast Butterfly (from 03/08)
Wednesday, March 24, 2010
03/24 Daily Summary
03/24 NDX Iron Butterfly
03/24 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/22)
Decided to go ahead and enter the position for this week. I didn’t do it on Monday due to limited time, that actually worked in my favour as I didn’t have to go through Yesterday’s upside move. I got in early morning Today and as the market kept going down it made the position profitable right from the start.
03/24 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
03/24 NDX Fast Butterfly (from 03/08)
Tuesday, March 23, 2010
03/23 Daily Summary
I can’t see any clear signal that this bullish movement is about to stop. All I can see is a long wick at Today’s candle on the NDX, but that may or may not mean much.. So far it has been rough on my bearish butterflies, I had to hedge and exit each and every one of them for the past 2 weeks. The Monthly Iron Butterfly for APR is doing ok, no issues there.
03/23 NDX Iron Butterfly
03/23 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
03/23 NDX Fast Butterfly (from 03/08)
No pull back Today.. Well, the position hit the skids and now I’m taking it off. I removed the bottom butterfly (had to trade each order separately) and will continue on my way to the exit Tomorrow. Looking back, there was one key mistake on this trade: buying that extra long 2050 call.. If it wasn’t for that, when we pulled back on Friday I’d have quite more profits on the table to close the trade. The fact I didn’t have profits, and quite honestly the fact I saw the bearish close on Friday as an indication of pull back caused me to leave the trade on for 2 days too long.
Monday, March 22, 2010
03/22 Daily Summary
Today was very busy at work for me, and I had to work through lunch. The result is that I couldn’t pull the plug on my NDX Fast Butterfly from 2/15. I also didn’t enter the OEX weekly this week, even if I wanted, I spent 10 minutes looking at it mid-morning and did not see a position there: There was no credit for a wider position, and I didn’t want to sell anything too close to the fire. Volatility might be way too low for the OEX condor this week, let’s see if something shows up Tomorrow.
03/22 NDX Iron Butterfly
03/22 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
03/22 NDX Fast Butterfly (from 03/08)
Saturday, March 20, 2010
MAR NDX Iron Butterfly Day-by-day review
The MAR position was fantastic! I got my P/L target really quickly and simply took my money off the table. I know by talking to other Sheridan students that whoever stayed longer got their profits taken away. I’ve been there done that, so am really glad that I’m maturing as a trader and able to walk away with my money! :)
Trade 1: From 02/16/2010 to 02/23/2010 +13.75% ROI
Day by day:
MAR MNX Iron Butterfly Day-by-day review
The MAR position was fantastic! I got my P/L target really quickly and simply took my money off the table. I know by talking to other Sheridan students that whoever stayed longer got their profits taken away. I’ve been there done that, so am really glad that I’m maturing as a trader and able to walk away with my money! :)
Trade 1: From 02/16/2010 to 02/25/2010 +10.45% ROI
Day by day:
Day by day:
FEB NDX Fast Butterfly Day-by-day review (3 trades)
In February I started to test this strategy live, it came about as an idea and after I tested it became clear to me I am onto something here. 3 trades, 2 wins, 1 loss. Below are the results:
Trade 1: From 02/08/2010 to 02/09/2010 -8.20% ROI
Day by day:
02/08 NDX Fast Butterfly
Trade 2: From 02/16/2010 to 02/19/2010 +1.67% ROI
02/19 NDX Fast Butterfly
Trade 3: From 02/22/2010 to 02/25/2010 +8.13% ROI
02/22 NDX Fast Butterfly
02/23 NDX Fast Butterfly
02/24 NDX Fast Butterfly
02/25 NDX Fast Butterfly
Trade 1: From 02/08/2010 to 02/09/2010 -8.20% ROI
Day by day:
02/08 NDX Fast Butterfly
Trade 2: From 02/16/2010 to 02/19/2010 +1.67% ROI
02/19 NDX Fast Butterfly
Trade 3: From 02/22/2010 to 02/25/2010 +8.13% ROI
02/22 NDX Fast Butterfly
02/23 NDX Fast Butterfly
02/24 NDX Fast Butterfly
02/25 NDX Fast Butterfly
FEB NDX Iron Butterfly Day-by-day review
This is by far one of the trades I am most happy with! I was able to stay in the game, manage taking a large loss early on, kept my head cool despite some early mistakes, looked for ways to control the position yet regain profits. Stayed on top of it, got some lucky help from the market and as the result was able to dig myself out of the hole and into profitability! Very good, very good indeed (pat myself on the back).
Trade 1: From 01/19/2010 to 02/12/2010 +1.54% ROI
Day by day:
FEB MNX Iron Butterfly Day-by-day review
Took a loss on my FEB MNX position, in retrospect, I think it could be traded slightly better, towards the end of the trade I stopped bringing in theta and became too defensive (too many long back-month calls). The market moved widely against the position and I focused on avoiding further losses (focus on loss, you get loss).
Trade 1: From 01/14/2010 to 02/12/2010 -14.34% ROI
Day by day:
02/12 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/11 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/10 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/08 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/05 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/04 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/03 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/02 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/01 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/29 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/28 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/27 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/26 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/25 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/22 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/21 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/20 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/19 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/15 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/14 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/14 MNX Iron Butterfly
Trade 1: From 01/14/2010 to 02/12/2010 -14.34% ROI
Day by day:
02/12 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/11 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/10 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/08 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/05 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/04 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/03 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/02 MNX Iron Butterfly
02/01 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/29 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/28 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/27 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/26 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/25 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/22 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/21 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/20 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/19 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/15 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/14 MNX Iron Butterfly
01/14 MNX Iron Butterfly
FEB RUT Iron Condor Day-by-day review
My February condor was a loss, after taking that loss I finally made my peace with this strategy, thank you but no thanks, will move on and trade other things. See the performance report posting for details as to why I left this strategy behind.
From 01/14/2010 to 01/22/2010 -13.04% ROI
Day by day:
01/22 RUT Iron Condor
01/21 RUT Iron Condor
01/20 RUT Iron Condor
01/19 RUT Iron Condor
01/15 RUT Iron Condor
01/14 RUT Iron Condor - FEB
From 01/14/2010 to 01/22/2010 -13.04% ROI
Day by day:
01/22 RUT Iron Condor
01/21 RUT Iron Condor
01/20 RUT Iron Condor
01/19 RUT Iron Condor
01/15 RUT Iron Condor
01/14 RUT Iron Condor - FEB
FEB OEX Weekly Iron Condors Day-by-day review (4 trades)
In February I was able to trade 4 OEX weekly Iron Condors, 3 wins, 1 loss, bellow are the results:
Trade 1: From 02/01/2010 to 02/05/2010 +7.83% ROI :
02/02 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/03 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/04 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/05 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Trade 2: From 02/08/2010 to 02/12/2010 +8.09% ROI
02/08 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/09 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/10 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/11 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/12 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Trade 3: From 02/16/2010 to 02/17/2010 -20.98% ROI
02/17 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Trade 4: From 02/22/2010 to 02/26/2010 +7.83% ROI
02/22 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/23 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/24 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/25 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/26 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Trade 1: From 02/01/2010 to 02/05/2010 +7.83% ROI :
02/02 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/03 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/04 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/05 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Trade 2: From 02/08/2010 to 02/12/2010 +8.09% ROI
02/08 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/09 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/10 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/11 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/12 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Trade 3: From 02/16/2010 to 02/17/2010 -20.98% ROI
02/17 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Trade 4: From 02/22/2010 to 02/26/2010 +7.83% ROI
02/22 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/23 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/24 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/25 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
02/26 OEX Weekly Iron Condor
Friday, March 19, 2010
03/19 Daily Summary
03/19 NDX Fast Iron Butterfly (from 03/15)
03/19 NDX Fast Butterfly (from 03/08)
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