Thursday, February 4, 2010

02/04 Daily Summary

Today was a major down-day in the markets, we broke the recent lows and this may indicate further selling in the horizon. My Iron Butterflies got the benefit of hedging and did not suffer a lot in terms of P/L, the OEX Iron Condor has the benefit of time working for it, it all depends on how active this Friday will be for the OEX position.

02/04 MNX Iron Butterfly



Similarly to the NDX, by keeping my long MAR Puts I was able to keep the trade pretty much under control despite our strong down-side movement. To be fair, I would much more prefer to have another quiet day, but the market does whatever it wants to do, and it seems like it is enjoying moving around. The position is under water and with limited time to recover, may have to call in the month on it.

02/04 NDX Iron Butterfly


Today’s wild down-side movement was not what I expected as a pull back, this shows the bears are still hungry and looking for food. I’m super glad I didn’t drop my long MAR PUTS, as they saved my trade from losing a lot of money Today. Bottom line, my strategy of keeping the Vega exposure under control paid off Today, as even though we moved down by a lot, the P/L on the trade did not suffer much.

02/04 OEX Weekly Iron Condor


Now the market moved against the PUT side of the trade, still far away, only be a problem if we move 1+ st. Deviation to the down-side again Tomorrow. As far as probabilities are concerned, the trade still has over 85% chances of making it.