Friday, June 5, 2009

06/05 SPY Double Diagonal

The position is going through its first weekend, SPY stayed just around the same price level since I started the trade, so it is in good shape to catch some Theta.

I find that my best positions are those that survive the first weekend without any major loss or adjustment.

06/05 DIA Iron Butterfly

We're now back at the B/E zone. Just like I posted for the DIA trade, having a pre-opening game plan allowed me to stay in the game and avoid any unecessary adjustment.

06/05 MDY 30-Day Condor

Having a pre-opening game plan proved invaluable Today! I was able to anticipate the gap up and evaluate if it was worth over-paying for any hedge or adjustment at the heat of the opening. Because I had great records (thanks to the blog), I was able to see that at the opening level I would be down an acceptable ammount of money and could work the trade from there.

This completely eliminated any anxiety that could have pushed me over the edge and caused me to over adjust the trade. Bottom line, it was a great feeling of being in control.

06/05 RUT 30-Day condor

With the trade being down 15%, and going through the weekend at the 430 level, due to negative Theta I would be at max loss on Monday. I wanted to do something other than taking the loss, so I came up with a recovery plan and went for it! No guts no glory.

See the recovery plan blog I posted earlier Today. If anything, next time I'll give serious thoughts about releasing this recovery plan earlier, I let the trade SIT in negative theta state and lost ground due to neg. theta and a further drop in volatility.

06/05 RUT 50-Day Condor - CLOSED

I've tried to hedge in order to have a more orderly exit, the trade bit the dust Today and there was nothing else I could do for it.

In addition to the gap up, when I hedged I overpaid (figured it would happen) for the long call and ended up losing over the max loss.

06/05 RUT 30-DAY Condor (Recovery Plan)

As we approach closing on this Friday, my RUT 30-Day condor is not in conditions to go over the weekend, it is Theta negative and with large possibility of opening up Monday on Max Loss. I decided to do something about in lieu of letting it die on me.

The picture bellow is my answer: I added 1 Iron Butterfly to neutralize the position and bring as much theta as possible. The scenario as I see is positive even if we gap 1 st. deviation at the opening on Monday. My plan is to navigate this trade untill Friday of next week, and I expect to make money on it.

JUN/09 SPY Calendar (Day-by-Day review)

Start: 05/19/09
Finish: 06/03/09
Duration: 2 and 1/2 weeks
ROI: 11.5%
Comments: This was a very easy trade, nothing happened for the duration, it got slightly negative, but profitable very quickly.


Started on 05/19/09

05/20/09

05/21/09

05/23/09

05/26/09

05/27/09

05/29/09

06/01/09

06/02/09

Finish: 06/03/09